33%, it's Week 7. The predictive models are humming, the stats are flowing, and the Sharp nuggets are plentiful this week. Why is Dalvin Cook going to absolutely explode for the rest of the season? Why are the Ravens a good bet to put up major points against the Seahawks? Why might the Dolphins actually win a few games...? Actually, let's not go too crazy with that last one. But as always, keep listening, and you'll hear Sharp's exclusive discount for his incredible proprietary NFL information only for Lefkoe Show listeners. Happy gambling! 1:00 Things start heating up on Wednesday night for the week of NFL betting
3:00 The Saints defense is even better than what Warren forecasted
4:40 The “Rule of 51” in the NFL is total bull[stuff]
9:45 Warren doesn’t like statistical totals since it doesn’t pertain to actually winning games
11:40 EPA, expected points added which is a measure of how many points you should be scoring for a given drive on a play by play basis
15:50
Coaches are even more receptive to Warren’s ideas this season
17:15 EDSR is all about avoiding third down
18:25 Teams with an EDSR advantage in Week 7
18:40 Bills have the largest advantage this week vs. Miami
21:20 Saints rank 5th on defense for EDSR
22:40 Giants are 8th overall for EDSR
29:30 Strength of schedule mismatches
30:31 Jaguars have faced a top 14 pass defenses every week, now in week 7 he will have the easiest pass defenses and Gardner Minshew is about to blow up
31:45 The Ravens have only faced two pass defenses that are above 18th overall so far this season
33:40 The Redskins have had the 11th easiest schedule for pass defenses
34:20 Vikings have faced the hardest schedule for run defense, despite how well they have run the ball
34:50 Look for Dalvin Cook to go OFF even more than he already has
36:00 Bills have faces 4th toughest schedule of run defenses so far
36:35 Lions will face tougher run defenses moving forward, ranking 5th worst in rushing while facing the 4th easiest schedule
40:00 Defense that have faced tough offenses this season to date
41:30 Saints have played the second toughest schedule of offenses to date, they get the Bears this week
43:40 Sweating through a close O/U
45:30 Defenses that will face much tougher offenses moving forward
46:20 The Patriots haven’t yet played a team outside the bottom ten in efficiency
51:15 Raiders- Packers one of the most interesting matchups of Week 7
56:00 Teams coming of a bye in Week 7
57:45 Ravens- Seahawks by the numbers
1:05:30 Predicting Eagles-Cowboys ATS
1:15:50 Predicting Texans-Colts ATS
1:19:20 Lefkoe Calls Krack to place his SuperContest bets
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